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Exploring the Factors Behind the Current Housing Market

26 Wednesday Apr 2023

Posted by rozalynf in Buying Myths, Columbia housing market, Columbia tell me what you think?, Home buying, Home Ownership

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#EconomicFactors, #Homeprices, #HousingCrisis, #realestatemarket, #RMFRealty, #SCRealtor, #SouthCarolina, #SupplyandDemand

Why Aren’t Home Prices Crashing?

The COVID-19 pandemic has created significant disruptions in almost all aspects of our lives, including the housing market. With the ongoing economic uncertainty and rising unemployment rates, many experts expected home prices to plummet. However, to the surprise of many, home prices have not crashed. In fact, the housing market has remained strong, with prices continuing to rise. This begs the question: Why aren’t home prices crashing?

There are several factors behind the current housing market. One of the primary reasons is the low interest rates. The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates to historic lows, making mortgages more affordable. This has incentivized many potential homebuyers to enter the market, driving up demand. However, the low interest rates have also encouraged existing homeowners to refinance their homes, reducing the supply of available homes.

Another factor contributing to the housing market’s resilience is the limited supply of available homes. Before the pandemic, the housing market was already facing a shortage of inventory. With the pandemic slowing down new home construction and many homeowners reluctant to sell their homes, the supply of available homes has further decreased. This has caused a bidding war among potential buyers, resulting in higher home prices.

The pandemic has also led to a change in consumer behavior. With remote work becoming more prevalent, many individuals are no longer tied to specific geographic locations. This has led to increased demand for larger homes with more outdoor space, particularly in suburban and rural areas. As a result, homes in these areas have seen a significant increase in demand and price.

Furthermore, the government’s stimulus packages and unemployment benefits have provided financial support to many households, enabling them to continue making mortgage payments. This has prevented a wave of foreclosures and forced sales that could have led to a crash in home prices.

In conclusion, while the pandemic has caused significant disruptions in almost all aspects of our lives, it has not led to a crash in home prices. The current housing market’s resilience can be attributed to several factors, including low interest rates, limited supply of available homes, changes in consumer behavior, and government support. As we continue to navigate the ongoing economic uncertainty, it will be interesting to see how these factors continue to shape the housing market.

#RealEstateMarket, #HomePrices, #HousingCrisis, #EconomicFactors, #SupplyandDemand, #RMFRealty, #SCRealtor,#SouthCarolina,

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Highlights of the current real estate market in Columbia, SC:

14 Tuesday Feb 2023

Posted by rozalynf in Area Homes For Sale, Buying Myths, Columbia housing market, Columbia tell me what you think?

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🏠 The Columbia real estate market is 🔥! With high demand, low inventory, and rising prices, it’s a competitive market for buyers. But with a strong rental market and urban revitalization, there are still good opportunities for investors.

  1. High demand: The Columbia real estate market has seen strong demand in recent years, driven by factors such as low interest rates, a growing economy, and a desirable quality of life.
  1. Low inventory: Despite high demand, there is a shortage of available housing inventory in Columbia, which has driven up prices and created a competitive market for buyers.
  1. Rising home prices: Home prices in Columbia have been on the rise in recent years, with the median home price increasing by over 10% year-over-year. This has created challenges for first-time buyers and low-income households.
  1. Strong rental market: With high home prices and low inventory, the rental market in Columbia has remained strong, providing an alternative for those who are unable or unwilling to purchase a home
  1. Urban revitalization: The city of Columbia has been undergoing a revitalization in recent years, with new developments and renovations of historic buildings bringing new life to the downtown area. This has made the city an increasingly attractive place to live and invest in real estate.
  1. Good investment opportunities: With strong demand and rising home prices, Columbia offers good opportunities for real estate investors. The rental market in particular has been a popular choice for investors seeking to generate passive income.

It’s important to note that the real estate market can change quickly and is impacted by many factors, including economic conditions, interest rates, and demographic trends. It’s always a good idea to consult with a local real estate agent or expert for the latest information and insights on the market. ColumbiaSCRealEstate #HotHousingMarket #RealEstateInvesting #RentalMarket #UrbanRevitalization”

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The Fall Housing Market; What Are Experts Saying

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Posted by rozalynf in Buying Myths, Columbia tell me what you think?, Home buying, Home Ownership, Selling your Columbia Home

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#Homebuying, #Homeownership, #RMFRealty, #Rozalynfranklinrealtor, #SCRealtor

What Are Experts Saying About the Fall Housing Market? | MyKCM

The Fall Housing Market; What Are Experts Saying

The housing market is rapidly changing from the peak frenzy it saw over the past two years. That means you probably have questions about what your best move is if you’re thinking of buying or selling this fall.

To help you make a confident decision, lean on the professionals for insights. Here are a few things experts are saying about the fall housing market.

Expert Quotes for Fall Homebuyers

A recent article from realtor.com:

“This fall, a more moderate pace of home selling, more listings to choose from, and softening price growth will provide some breathing room for buyers searching for a home during what is typically the best time to buy a home.”

Michael Lane, VP and General Manager, ShowingTime:

“Buyers will continue to see less competition for homes and have more time to tour homes they like and consider their options.” 

Expert Quotes for Fall Sellers

Selma Hepp, Interim Lead of the Office of the Chief Economist, CoreLogic:

“. . . record equity continues to provide fuel for housing demand, particularly if households are relocating to more affordable areas.”

Danielle Hale, Chief Economist, realtor.com:

“For homeowners deciding whether to make a move this year, remember that listing prices – while lower than a few months ago – remain higher than in prior years, so you’re still likely to find opportunities to cash-in on record-high levels of equity, particularly if you’ve owned your home for a longer period of time.”

Bottom Line

Mortgage rates, home prices, and the supply of homes for sale are top of mind for buyers and sellers today. And if you want the latest information for our area, let’s connect today.

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Top Reasons Homeowners Are Selling Their Houses Right Now

21 Wednesday Sep 2022

Posted by rozalynf in Columbia tell me what you think?, Rent-vs-Buying, SC Home Sellers, South Carolina Living

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Top Reasons Homeowners Are Selling Their Houses Right Now | MyKCM

Some people believe there’s a group of homeowners who may be reluctant to sell their houses because they don’t want to lose the historically low mortgage rate they have on their current home. You may even have the same hesitation if you’re thinking about selling your house. Here ares some top Reasons Homeowners Are Selling Their Houses Right Now

Data shows 51% of homeowners have a mortgage rate under 4% as of April this year. And while it’s true mortgage rates are higher than that right now, there are other non-financial factors to consider when it comes to making a move. In other words, your mortgage rate is important, but you may have other things going on in your life that make a move essential, regardless of where rates are today. As Jessica Lautz, Vice President of Demographics and Behavioral Insights at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains:

“Home sellers have historically moved when something in their lives changed – a new baby, a marriage, a divorce or a new job. . . .”

So, if you’re thinking about selling your house, it may help to explore the other reasons homeowners are choosing to make a move today. The 2022 Summer Sellers Survey by realtor.com asked recent home sellers why they decided to sell. The visual below breaks down how those homeowners responded:

Top Reasons Homeowners Are Selling Their Houses Right Now | MyKCM

As the visual shows, an appetite for different features or the fact that their current home could no longer meet their needs topped the list for recent sellers. Additionally, remote work and whether or not they need a home office or are tied to a specific physical office location also factored in, as did the desire to live close to their loved ones.

The realtor.com survey summarizes the findings like this:

“The primary reason homeowners decided to sell in the last year was the realization that, after so much time spent at home, they wanted different features and amenities, such as walkability, outdoor space, pool, etc. . . . ”

If you, like the homeowners they surveyed, find yourself wanting features, space, or amenities your current home just can’t provide, it may be time to consider listing your house for sale.

Even with today’s mortgage rates, your lifestyle needs may be enough to motivate you to make a change. The best way to find out what’s right for you is to partner with a trusted real estate professional who can provide expert guidance and advice throughout the process. They can help walk you through your options, so you can make a confident decision based on what matters most to you and your loved ones.

Bottom Line

While the financial reasons for moving are important, there’s often far more to consider. Non-financial reasons can also be a significant motivating factor. If you need help weighing the pros and cons of selling your house, let’s connect today.

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Don’t Wait To Sell Your House

22 Tuesday Jun 2021

Posted by rozalynf in Avoiding Foreclosure, Columbia tell me what you think?, Just Listed, SC Home Sellers, Selling your Columbia Home

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Don’t Wait To Sell Your House | MyKCM

We’re in the ultimate sellers’ market right now. If you’re a homeowner thinking about selling, you have a huge advantage in today’s housing market. High buyer demand paired with very few houses for sale makes this the optimal time to sell for those who are ready to do so. Whatever the move you want to make looks like, here’s an overview of what’s creating the prime opportunity to sell this summer.

High Buyer Demand

Demand is strong, and buyers are actively searching for homes to purchase. In the Realtors Confidence Index Survey published monthly by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), buyer traffic is considered “very strong” in almost every state. Homebuyers aren’t just great in number right now – they’re also determined to find their dream home. NAR shows the average home for sale today receives five offers from hopeful buyers. These increasingly frequent bidding wars can drive up the price of your house, which is why high demand from competitive homebuyers is such a win for this summer’s sellers.

Low Inventory of Houses for Sale

Purchaser demand is so high, the market is running out of available homes for sale. Danielle Hale, Chief Economist at realtor.com, explains:

“For most sellers listing sooner rather than later could really pay off with less competition from other sellers and potentially a higher sales price… They’ll also avoid some big unknowns lurking later in the year, namely another possible surge in COVID cases, rising interest rates and the potential for more sellers to enter the market.”

Don’t Wait To Sell Your House | MyKCM

NAR also reveals that unsold inventory sits at a 2.4-months’ supply at the current sales pace. This is far lower than the historical norm of a 6.0-months’ supply. Homes are essentially selling as fast as they’re hitting the market. Below is a graph of the existing inventory of single-family homes for sale:At the same time, homebuilders are increasing construction this year, but they can’t keep up with the growing demand. While reporting on the inventory of newly constructed homes, the U.S. Census Bureau notes:

“The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of April was 316,000. This represents a supply of 4.4 months at the current sales rate.”

What Does This Mean for You? 

If you’re thinking of putting your house on the market, don’t wait. A seller will always negotiate the best deal when demand is high and supply is low. That’s exactly what’s happening in the real estate market today.

Bottom Line

As vaccine rollouts progress and we continue to see the economy recover, more houses will come to the market. Don’t wait for the competition in your neighborhood to increase. If you’re ready to make a move, now is the time to sell. Let’s connect today to get your house listed at this optimal moment in time.

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Home Prices: What Happened in 2020? What Will Happen This Year?

02 Tuesday Mar 2021

Posted by rozalynf in Buying Myths, Columbia tell me what you think?, SC Home Sellers, Selling your Columbia Home, South Carolina Living

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#Homebuying, #Homeownership, #realestate, #realestateadvise, #realestatemarket, #realestatetips, #RMFRealty, #Rozalynfranklinrealtor, @SCrealtor

Home Prices: What Happened in 2020? What Will Happen This Year? | MyKCM

The real estate market was on fire during the second half of 2020. Buyer demand was way up, and the supply of homes available for sale hit record lows. The price of anything is determined by the supply and demand ratio, so home prices skyrocketed last year. Dr. Lynn Fisher, Deputy Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Division of Research and Statistics, explains:

“House prices nationwide recorded the largest annual and quarterly increase in the history of the FHFA Home Price Index. Low mortgage rates, pent up demand from homebuyers, and a limited housing supply propelled every region of the country to experience faster growth in 2020 compared to a year ago despite the pandemic.”

Here are the year-end home price appreciation numbers from the FHFA and two other prominent pricing indexes:

  • Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index Report: 10.8%
  • CoreLogic Home Price Insights: 9.2%
  • S&P Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index: 10.4%

The past year was truly a remarkable time for homeowners as prices appreciated substantially. Lawrence Yun, Senior Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), reveals:

“A typical homeowner in 2020, just by being a homeowner, would have accumulated around $24,000 in housing wealth.”

What will happen with home prices this year?

Many experts believe buyer demand will soften somewhat as mortgage rates are poised to bump up slightly. Some also believe the inventory challenge will ease as more listings come to market this year.

Home Prices: What Happened in 2020? What Will Happen This Year? | MyKCM

Based on this, most forecasters anticipate we’ll see strong appreciation in 2021 – but not as strong as last year. Here are seven prominent groups and their projections:

Bottom Line

Home price appreciation will be strong this year, but it won’t reach the historic levels of 2020. Let’s connect if you’d like to find out what your house is currently worth in our local market.

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Uncertainty Abounds in the Search for Economic Recovery Timetable

23 Thursday Apr 2020

Posted by rozalynf in Columbia tell me what you think?, Home Ownership, SC Home Sellers, Uncategorized

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#Economicrecovery, #Recession, #RMFRealty, #Rozalynfranklin, #SCRealtor

Uncertainty Abounds in the Search for Economic Recovery Timetable | MyKCM

Earlier this week, we discussed how most projections from financial institutions are calling for a quick V-shaped recovery from this economic downturn, and there’s research on previous post-pandemic recoveries to support that expectation.

In addition, we noted how there are some in the business community who believe we may instead be headed for a U-shaped recovery, where the return to previous levels of economic success won’t occur until the middle of next year. Yesterday, Reuters released a poll of U.S. and European economists which revealed that most surveyed are now leaning more toward a U-shaped recovery.

Uncertainty Abounds in the Search for Economic Recovery Timetable

Here are the results of that poll:Uncertainty Abounds in the Search for Economic Recovery Timetable | MyKCM

Why the disparity in thinking among different groups of economic experts?

The current situation makes it extremely difficult to project the future of the economy. Analysts normally look at economic data and compare it to previous slowdowns to create their projections. This situation, however, is anything but normal.

Today, analysts must incorporate data from three different sciences into their recovery equation:

1. Business Science – How has the economy rebounded from similar slowdowns in the past?

2. Health Science – When will COVID-19 be under control? Will there be another flareup of the virus this fall?

3. Social Science – After businesses are fully operational, how long will it take American consumers to return to normal consumption patterns? (Ex: going to the movies, attending a sporting event, or flying).

The challenge of accurately combining the three sciences into a single projection has created uncertainty, and it has led to a wide range of opinions on the timing of the recovery.

Bottom Line

Right now, the vast majority of economists and analysts believe a full recovery will take anywhere from 6-18 months. No one truly knows the exact timetable, but it will be coming.

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Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No.

21 Tuesday Apr 2020

Posted by rozalynf in Columbia tell me what you think?, Home buying, Home Ownership, Investing In SC Real Estate, Selling your Columbia Home, Uncategorized

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#COVID19, #Housingcrash, #Housingrecession, #Recession, #RMFRealty, #Rozalynfranklinrealtor, #SCRealtor

Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No. | MyKCM

With over 90% of Americans now under a shelter-in-place order, many experts are warning that the American economy is heading toward a recession, if it’s not in one already. What does that mean to the residential real estate market?

Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No.

What is a recession?

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research:

“A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.”

COVID-19 hit the pause button on the American economy in the middle of March. Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley are all calling for a deep dive in the economy in the second quarter of this year. Though we may not yet be in a recession by the technical definition of the word today, most believe history will show we were in one from April to June.

Does that mean we’re headed for another housing crash?

Many fear a recession will mean a repeat of the housing crash that occurred during the Great Recession of 2006-2008. The past, however, shows us that most recessions do not adversely impact home values. Doug Brien, CEO of Mynd Property Management, explains:

“With the exception of two recessions, the Great Recession from 2007-2009, & the Gulf War recession from 1990-1991, no other recessions have impacted the U.S. housing market, according to Freddie Mac Home Price Index data collected from 1975 to 2018.”

CoreLogic, in a second study of the last five recessions, found the same. Here’s a graph of their findings:Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No. | MyKCM

What are the experts saying this time?

This is what three economic leaders are saying about the housing connection to this recession:

Robert Dietz, Chief Economist with NAHB

“The housing sector enters this recession underbuilt rather than overbuilt…That means as the economy rebounds – which it will at some stage – housing is set to help lead the way out.”

Ali Wolf, Chief Economist with Meyers Research

“Last time housing led the recession…This time it’s poised to bring us out. This is the Great Recession for leisure, hospitality, trade and transportation in that this recession will feel as bad as the Great Recession did to housing.”

John Burns, founder of John Burns Consulting, also revealed that his firm’s research concluded that recessions caused by a pandemic usually do not significantly impact home values:

“Historical analysis showed us that pandemics are usually V-shaped (sharp recessions that recover quickly enough to provide little damage to home prices).”

Bottom Line

If we’re not in a recession yet, we’re about to be in one. This time, however, housing will be the sector that leads the economic recovery.

34.1117009-80.8903326

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Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No.

13 Monday Apr 2020

Posted by rozalynf in Columbia tell me what you think?, Home buying, SC Home Sellers, Uncategorized

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#Housingrecession, #KWPreferred, #RMFRealty, #Rozalynfranklinrealtor, #SCRealtor

Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No. | MyKCM

With over 90% of Americans now under a shelter-in-place order, many experts are warning that the American economy is heading toward a recession, if it’s not in one already. What does that mean to the residential real estate market?

Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No. What is a recession?

According to the National Bureau of Economic Research:

“A recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales.”

COVID-19 hit the pause button on the American economy in the middle of March. Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley are all calling for a deep dive in the economy in the second quarter of this year. Though we may not yet be in a recession by the technical definition of the word today, most believe history will show we were in one from April to June.

Does that mean we’re headed for another housing crash?

Many fear a recession will mean a repeat of the housing crash that occurred during the Great Recession of 2006-2008. The past, however, shows us that most recessions do not adversely impact home values. Doug Brien, CEO of Mynd Property Management, explains:

“With the exception of two recessions, the Great Recession from 2007-2009, & the Gulf War recession from 1990-1991, no other recessions have impacted the U.S. housing market, according to Freddie Mac Home Price Index data collected from 1975 to 2018.”

CoreLogic, in a second study of the last five recessions, found the same. Here’s a graph of their findings:Recession? Yes. Housing Crash? No. | MyKCM

What are the experts saying this time?

This is what three economic leaders are saying about the housing connection to this recession:

Robert Dietz, Chief Economist with NAHB

“The housing sector enters this recession underbuilt rather than overbuilt…That means as the economy rebounds – which it will at some stage – housing is set to help lead the way out.”

Ali Wolf, Chief Economist with Meyers Research

“Last time housing led the recession…This time it’s poised to bring us out. This is the Great Recession for leisure, hospitality, trade and transportation in that this recession will feel as bad as the Great Recession did to housing.”

John Burns, founder of John Burns Consulting, also revealed that his firm’s research concluded that recessions caused by a pandemic usually do not significantly impact home values:

“Historical analysis showed us that pandemics are usually V-shaped (sharp recessions that recover quickly enough to provide little damage to home prices).”

Bottom Line

If we’re not in a recession yet, we’re about to be in one. This time, however, housing will be the sector that leads the economic recovery.

34.1117024-80.8904292

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Impact of the Coronavirus on the U.S. Housing Market

05 Thursday Mar 2020

Posted by rozalynf in Columbia tell me what you think?, Home buying, Uncategorized

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#Coronavirusonushousingmarket, #KWPreferred, #RMFRealty, #Rozalynfranklinrealtor, #SCRealtor

Impact of the Coronavirus on the U.S. Housing Market | MyKCM

The Coronavirus (COVID-19) has caused massive global uncertainty, including a U.S. stock market correction no one could have seen coming. While much of the news has been about the effect on various markets, let’s also acknowledge the true impact it continues to have on lives and families around the world. Also explore the impact of the Coronavirus on the U.S. Housing Market.

With all this uncertainty, how do you make powerful and confident decisions in regard to your real estate plans?

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) anticipates:

“At the very least, the coronavirus could cause some people to put home sales on hold.”

While this is an understandable approach, it is important to balance that with how it may end up costing you in the long run. If you’re considering buying or selling a home, it is key to educate yourself so that you can take thoughtful and intentional next steps for your future.

For example, when there’s fear in the world, we see lower mortgage interest rates as investors flee stocks for the safety of U.S. bonds. This connection should be considered when making real estate decisions.

According to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB):

“The Fed’s action was expected but perhaps not to this degree and timing. And the policy change was consistent with recent declines for interest rates in the bond market. These declines should push mortgage interest rates closer to a low 3% average for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage.”

This is exactly what we’re experiencing right now as mortgage interest rates hover at the lowest levels in the history of the housing market.

Bottom Line

The full impact of the Coronavirus is still not yet known. It is in times like these that working with an informed and educated real estate professional can make all the difference in the world.

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  • Understanding the Impact of Mortgage Inquiries on Your Credit Score
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  • Why Buying a Home Makes More Sense Than Renting Today
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    Learn how mortgage inquiries can impact your credit scores. Understand the difference between hard and soft inquiries, the duration of their effect, and discover strategies to minimize the impact. Find expert advice on managing mortgage inquiries and maintaining a healthy credit score. #CreditScore101 #MortgageInquiries, #RMFRealtyTeam,Continue reading →
  • What You Need To Know About Home Price News
    The information it contains on home prices may cause some confusion and could even generate some troubling headlines. This all stems from the fact that NAR will report the median sales price, while other home price indices report repeat sales prices. The vast majority of the repeat sales indices show prices are starting to appreciate again. […]
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  • Exploring the Factors Behind the Current Housing Market
    while the pandemic has caused significant disruptions in almost all aspects of our lives, it has not led to a crash in home prices. The current housing market's resilience can be attributed to several factors, including low interest rates, limited supply of available homes, changes in consumer behavior, and government support. As we continue to […]
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